Lloyds Bank: South East business confidence rises to highest level since May
South East climbed to its highest level since May in November, rising 13 points to 34%, according to the latest Business Barometer from Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking.
Companies in the region reported higher confidence in their own business prospects month-on-month, up seven points at 31%. When taken alongside their optimism in the economy, up 18 points to 37%, this gives a headline confidence reading of 34%.
The Business Barometer questions 1,200 businesses monthly.
A net balance of 23% of businesses in the region expect to increase staff levels over the next year, up five points on last month.
Overall, UK business confidence was buoyant in November at 40%, down just three points on October’s reading of 43%. Both firms’ confidence in their own trading prospects and optimism in the economy remained comfortably in positive territory, each dipping just three points month-on-month to 39% and 41% respectively.
All UK nations and regions had positive confidence readings in November, with three regions – Wales and the East of England along with the South East – reporting an increase on October’s data. Firms in London (down two points to 63%) remained the most confident for a third month in a row, followed by the North East (down 16 points to 45%), the West Midlands (down eight points to 42%) and East Midlands (down 13 points to 42%). A net balance of 30% of firms across the UK reported plans to create new jobs in the next twelve months, with hiring intentions strongest in London (41%), Wales (37%) and the South West (37%).
Paul Evans, regional director for the South East at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said:
“Whatever lies ahead, we will remain by the side of South East businesses to help them grow and look forward to a bright future.”
At a sector level, confidence slipped in manufacturing (42%), to its lowest since August, linked to the persistence of supply-chain disruptions, while it fell to a seven-month low of 28% in construction.
In contrast, the retail sector (45%) bucked the trend with a pickup in confidence, reflecting hopes for higher spending ahead as the festive period approaches. Services confidence (41%) fell slightly, with strong growth for financial & business services and communications offset by more downbeat responses from education, health and public administration.
Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist for Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said:
“Pay expectations remain elevated with a quarter of businesses anticipating rises of 3% or more in the next 12 months which will add to business costs, but it bodes well for staff facing into economic challenges.”